Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.605369 0.687882 0.776166 0.877495 0.990425 1.112251 1.253456
2025-07-27 0.498867 0.617279 0.753531 0.921220 1.121317 1.351666 1.636104
2025-08-03 0.408989 0.547778 0.718531 0.942393 1.226274 1.572227 2.023439
2025-08-10 0.336193 0.485070 0.680010 0.950833 1.313670 1.778859 2.415505
2025-08-17 0.280176 0.433503 0.646251 0.957960 1.396881 1.985727 2.826640
2025-08-24 0.237123 0.391795 0.618323 0.966868 1.480365 2.197916 3.262173
2025-08-31 0.199203 0.350633 0.584152 0.960442 1.538706 2.377750 3.666081
2025-09-07 0.174084 0.324851 0.568601 0.978166 1.631832 2.612520 4.165023
2025-09-14 0.148070 0.292875 0.538190 0.967627 1.678611 2.780109 4.575391
2025-09-21 0.130330 0.272129 0.522941 0.978752 1.758876 3.002857 5.083710
2025-09-28 0.111458 0.245910 0.494323 0.963008 1.792029 3.152053 5.485552
2025-10-05 0.103091 0.238464 0.498041 1.003544 1.922707 3.466663 6.172013
2025-10-12 0.095065 0.230668 0.500565 1.043002 2.056613 3.799209 6.916005
2025-10-19 0.085237 0.217368 0.490691 1.058065 2.148134 4.066699 7.569910
2025-10-26 0.075411 0.202281 0.475129 1.060139 2.215530 4.296743 8.174869
2025-11-02 0.066390 0.187338 0.457712 1.056224 2.270665 4.508168 8.760330
2025-11-09 0.058868 0.174546 0.443038 1.055942 2.332144 4.734408 9.385401
2025-11-16 0.052670 0.163870 0.431496 1.060685 2.403399 4.982664 10.064590
2025-11-23 0.046314 0.151474 0.414187 1.050694 2.443349 5.173896 10.649441
2025-11-30 0.042333 0.144803 0.409466 1.068021 2.540911 5.481021 11.467996
2025-12-07 0.037237 0.133838 0.392619 1.055494 2.573692 5.663296 12.059063
2025-12-14 0.033892 0.127405 0.386281 1.066814 2.658691 5.953956 12.874983
2025-12-21 0.029687 0.117321 0.368906 1.049396 2.678295 6.113316 13.441969